Partly cloudy this evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Friday
Tropical storm conditions expected. Cloudy...showers... mainly in the afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall possible in the afternoon. Humid with highs in the lower 80s. East winds 10 to 15 mph...increasing to northeast 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 50 mph in the afternoon. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Tropical storm conditions expected. Mostly cloudy. Showers...mainly in the evening. Locally heavy rainfall possible in the evening. Lows in the upper 60s. North winds 35 to 45 mph with gusts up to 55 mph...becoming northwest 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 90 percent.
Saturday
Sunny and breezy and less humid with highs in the upper 70s. West winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.
Partly cloudy in the evening...then mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Lows around 60. Chance of rain 30 percent.
Final preparations to protect life and property should be completed before conditions deteriorate. The onset of gusty winds and heavy rains can cause outside activities to become dangerous. Secure loose outdoor objects which can be blown around. If you live in a Mobile home... leave it for more substantial shelter.
... Probability of tropical storm/hurricane conditions... the chance for tropical storm conditions at this time is up to 69 percent. This represents a steady trend since the last forecast. Tropical storm conditions are most likely to begin late Friday afternoon and last through Friday evening.
... Winds... as Hurricane Earl approaches... sustained tropical storm force winds are expected to begin late Friday afternoon. Maximum winds are forecast to be in the 30 to 40 mph range with gusts to 55 mph. Highest gusts will be felt across the Twin Forks of Long Island.
Minor damage may occur to older Mobile homes. Residents should move loose items indoors... such as garbage cans and outdoor furniture... as they will be blown around. Newly planted or Young trees and shrubs may be uprooted if not secured properly. Isolated power outages will be possible.
... Storm surge and storm tide... as Hurricane Earl approaches the coast... there is an increasing chance for combined storm surge and astronomical tide waters up to 2 to 4 feet above mean sea level within areas closer to the coast... resulting in worst case flood inundation up to 1 to 3 feet above ground level somewhere within the surge zone.
The locations most likely to realize minor coastal flooding include the shorelines adjacent to Long Island Sound and Peconic and Gardiners Bay.
... Coastal hazards... large waves Friday into the weekend will cause substantial beach erosion... with washovers possible... especially along the South Shore of Long Island.
... Rip currents... increasingly high surf and dangerous rip currents will develop today into Friday... with surf conditions remaining dangerous into the weekend.
